20 diciembre 2007

De shows y cianuros (14/12)

Aparecen barriles con cianuro en dos centros comerciales y todo el mundo como si no hubiera pasado nada, más concentrados –y machaconamente– en un lamentable accidente de construcción. Claro, es de lo más limeñamente normal, común, rutinario, ordinario e inofensivo lo del cianuro. Bueno, “such is life in the tropics”.

-Me es particularmente gratificante enterarme, mientras redacto esta columna, que por fin el Congreso aprobó la reducción de cargas impositivas a los espectáculos. ¡Una campaña exitosa más! Se logró a pesar de los sabotajes del congresista Yamashiro, que la “aguantó” todo lo que pudo en la Comisión de Economía que presidía. Es que es de puro sentido común: no hay más espectáculos en Lima sencillamente porque estos tributos hacían demasiado oneroso traer artistas. No se por qué le era tan difícil entender esto a Yamashiro (en un rojo lo entiendo, porque para ser rojo tienes que ser bruto). Es una curva de Laffer típica: si cargas fiscalmente en demasía a un producto, se te cae la recaudación (e incentivas el contrabando y la informalidad). Como también es gratificante aquello de que la Corte de La Haya se haya declarado competente para examinar el contencioso marítimo entre Nicaragua y Colombia. Eso significa que la postura chilena de procurar que dicha Corte no se pronuncie sobre nuestro problema con ellos queda en off-side y podremos litigar con la ventaja de que La Haya suele aplicar la Convención de Mar –la hayas firmado o no– como solución, lo que significaría que obtendríamos la línea equidistante que pretendemos. Ahora, como esto prácticamente cancelaría la salida boliviana al mar al norte de Arica (la cual es de por sí un disparate, porque no hay condiciones naturales para un puerto allí, como me lo admitió en Lima el ex presidente Mesa), apuesto doble contra sencillo que Chile va a volver a ilusionar a los bolivianos con esto para predisponerlos contra nosotros, más aún con un Evo acorralado por el radical federalismo inminente de Santa Cruz.
Porque las cosas se están poniendo picantes en Bolivia. Este fin de semana puede correr sangre. ¿Cuál será la reacción chilena si estalla una guerra civil en Bolivia? ¿No les sería un gran negocio proteger a los secesionistas y así garantizarse el gas de Tarija? ¿Y si Chávez envía tropas allí, qué harían? Si la OTAN reconoce pronto la independencia de Kosovo de Serbia…¿cómo se la podrían negar a Santa Cruz?

PD: Me curo en salud: que publiquemos la ajena, respetada y sustentada opinión jurídica de un reconocido penalista que discrepa del PJ sobre la primera sentencia impuesta a Fujimori, no significa que tengamos la menor simpatía hacia quien degeneró en el poder con abusos, corrupción, ambiciones reeleccionistas y parálisis de reformas, para acabar con hechos repulsivos como la infame renuncia por fax o la increíble postulación a un senado extranjero. Conozco mi chacra y ya anticipo lo que mis bienamados y bienaventurados amigos caviares y rojos van a decir. Felizmente, aquí no somos “políticamente correctos”.

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